WNBA betting tips for Sundays' Game 3 matchups: Sky at Sun, Aces at Storm

ByEric Moody and Jenni LaCroix ESPN logo
Saturday, September 3, 2022

Each day of the WNBA season, our team of fantasy and betting experts breaks down every game on the slate, making note of everything from injuries and lineup changes to recent trends and more.

All odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook. Times are ET.

Here's what to look for during today's slate:

1:00 p.m., Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, Conn.

Line:Sun (-1)

Money line:Sky (-115), Sun (-105)

Total:163.5points

BPI Win%:Sun(68.2%)

Questionable:None

Ruled Out:None

Best bet:Sky +1.0 There is no doubt Candace Parker and the Sky are one of the most difficult teams to beat when they are operating at full efficiency. That's exactly what we saw in Game 2. After a loss this season, the Sky are now 11-1, including the playoffs. In this series, Parker leads both teams in points, rebounds, and blocks. Through the first two games of a series, she has led all players on both teams in all three statistical categories outright for the second time in her career. In franchise history, the Sun has lost all four best of five series they've been tied 1-1. In Game 3, the Sky should cover, if not win outright, but there is currently more value (-110) on the spread than on the moneyline (-115) at time of publication. -Moody

Best bet: Sky 1st Quarter (+100) I'm picking the Sky to lead after the first quarter because in four of their five postseason games they have done exactly that. Also in five of the six matchups between these two teams this season the Sky have led at the end of the first quarter (and went on to win all five of those games). Chicago has averaged a +7.4 PPG differential in the first quarter during the playoffs, the largest among the playoff field. Meanwhile the Connecticut Sun have averaged a -4.6 PPG differential in the first this postseason. - LaCroix

3:00 p.m., Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Line:Storm (-1)

Money line:Aces (-105), Storm (-115)

Total:167.5points

BPI Win%:Storm(55.3%)

Questionable:Gabby Williams (concussion)

Ruled Out:None

Best bet: Under 167.5 The Aces have played at home for seven straight games and are going on the road for the first time since August 7th when they played at Seattle. This could be a bit of a shock for the team playing in a different venue for the first time in nearly a month and not having their fans behind them and it could cause some issues for their offense. The Aces have hit the under on five of their last six road games. In addition since the playoff format changed in 2016, Game 3 in a best-of-5 series has been known to have lower scoring than all others averaging just 155.2 PPG combined during that span (lowest of any game in 5-game series). Seattle has also held its opponents to just 73.1 PPG at home this season, the lowest in the league during the regular season. -LaCroix

Best bet:Storm -1.0 Going into Game 3, the Storm are in a good position. With a 1-1 tie against the No. 1 seed Aces, they will now play two out of three games at home, where they were 13-5 during the regular season. The team also boasts four former No. 1 draft picks: Sue Bird, Breanna Stewart, Jewell Loyd, and Tina Charles. There is a lot of experience in this group. The offensive impact of Charles has been immense for the Storm. With an already strong defense, Seattle had the fourth highest offensive rating during her 18 regular season games with the team. There is a possibility that Gabby Williams will return to the Storm who has been an integral part of this team's offensive and defensive performance. Seattle should cover. -Moody